Posts Tagged ‘tenancy’

Payday loans – when the conflict of interests arises May 23rd, 2010

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185The purpose of creating a PQ Profile is to help benchmark Partnering Intelligence for you and your team or partners. It serves as a starting point for discussion around the Six Partnering Attributes and how you can begin to improve your partnering skills. Along the vertical axis of the PQ Profile is a scale from 1 to 6. A score for any of the six attributes below 2.5 is low; between 2.5 and 4.5 is medium; above 4.5 is high.

Based on our study population, which holds true for the general population, a difference of .4 or more between two scores indicates a statistically significant difference in the level of ability in that attribute of Partnering Intelligence. For example, if you score a 3.2 on Win-Win Orientation and your partner scores a 3.8, your partner is more likely to use a win-win style of conflict resolution than you are. The larger the gap between points on two or more profiles, the greater the opportunity for conflict.

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Comfort with change of loan interest rates March 21st, 2010

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Future Orientation

If you scored low in this attribute, it means that you tend to rely on past events for making decisions about future events. This is a past orientation. If you scored high, you tend to use a planning style and hold people accountable for doing what they say they’ll do. This is a future orientation. If you have a past orientation, that tends to indicate a low level of trust—since you probably don’t trust people to do anything other than what they’ve done in the past. This assumption stifles any hope that things might be different and thus reduces the possibility for change. Having a future orientation is a step toward building trust between you and your partner.

Comfort with Change

If you scored low in this attribute, you’re probably uneasy about change. You like to do things the way they’ve always been done in the past and are uncomfortable with trying new things. You may have a low ability to trust and may rely on a past orientation to make decisions. If you scored high, you probably like change—and may even embrace it.And if you are comfortable with change, you probably also have a future orientation in your decision-making style and a high
ability to trust.

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A more favorable environment for credit November 19th, 2009

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With the decline of default rates and credit blowups in 2003 and 2004, more and more portfolio managers have realized that the concentration on idiosyncratic risk yields unsatisfactory results in a more favorable environment for credit. Increasing allocation and spread duration may sometimes not be enough to outperform the market during a rally. The use of betas can help to correct this error. The concept originally stems from the equity markets where it is used to describe the portion of the variation in asset returns that is due to market fluctuations. In credit markets beta analysis should only be applied to credit returns, that is the part of a bond’s return that is solely due to changes of the spread versus the swap curve. For a well-diversified portfolio systematic risk, which is captured by the beta, is the major part of credit risk. On a single issuer basis, however, idiosyncratic risk prevails, especially for lower rated credits. Since market data for individual bonds contain a lot of noise, regressions to obtain betas versus the market index should also be done on the sector level. If the portfolio manager is bullish on the credit market, he will tend to overweight higher beta sectors and issuers. This methodology adds a third dimension to the process of tactical positioning, supplementing the decisions on the sector allocation and spread duration.

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When a steepening of the credit curve is expected November 9th, 2009

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When a steepening of the credit curve is expected that is not fully reflected in forward spreads a portfolio manager would have to sell the long bonds and buy short-term bonds. However, in order to keep duration constant, he would have to put more cash to work in the short-term bonds than he receives from selling the long bonds. Since real money managers such as mutual funds and insurance companies are not allowed to borrow and to leverage their positions, setting up a credit curve steepener involves taking a duration view, because the investor implicitly ends up being short duration.

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A bond swap on an issuer’s credit curve November 7th, 2009

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In most cases portfolio managers do not expect the spread change to occur that is priced in forward spreads. If this view is strong enough, and if the portfolio manager has proven his skill in predicting corporate bond spread changes, he may decide to bet against the market, in other words to take an active position with respect to the credit curve. Several different ways to implement such trades will be discussed subsequently.

The first trade is simply a bond swap on an issuer’s credit curve. If an investor expects the credit curve to flatten more than implied by forward spreads over the holding period, he may switch out of short-term bonds into longer maturities. In order to keep the duration exposure constant, a part of the proceeds of the sale of the short-term bonds would have to be kept in cash. Although this trade can be constructed to be duration-neutral, the performance over the holding period relative to the benchmark depends on changes of the shape of the yield curve. A yield curve steepening can lead to the underperformance of the long bonds even if the credit curve flattens.

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Flat credit curves imply stable spreads November 5th, 2009

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It is important to note that upward sloping credit curves imply a widening of spreads, flat credit curves imply stable spreads and inverse credit curves imply tightening spreads. Again, as with government bonds implied spreads differ from expected future spreads. Longer term corporate bonds should not only contain a premium that compensates investors for accepting higher price volatility, but also for taking on additional credit risk.

A second observation with respect to forward credit curves is related to the slope: The steeper a credit curve is, the larger is the implied spread widening. If the spread widens less or more than indicated by forward spreads over the holding period, certain bonds will perform better than others. Portfolio managers who have a strong view on the spread changes they expect for an issuer’s bonds may benefit from this fact. If, for example, they expect the bonds of an issuer with an upward sloping credit curve, as France Telecom, to widen less than implied by forward spreads, they would prefer to own longer term bonds, because the additional carry should overcompensate the capital loss due to the expected spread widening.

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